Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.036826 2.352081 2.698487 3.107174 3.575996 4.096836 4.719252
2025-04-06 1.602911 2.016007 2.508238 3.137293 3.919262 4.858824 6.073168
2025-04-13 1.227114 1.664011 2.223045 2.989323 4.011051 5.325253 7.143202
2025-04-20 1.045726 1.516363 2.157918 3.093640 4.420967 6.233709 8.895329
2025-04-27 0.924008 1.423512 2.144392 3.256187 4.923245 7.325209 11.044464
2025-05-04 0.805506 1.311979 2.082185 3.332331 5.304188 8.287191 13.134516
2025-05-11 0.702006 1.203879 2.004905 3.367834 5.620074 9.183022 15.234374
2025-05-18 0.594062 1.069456 1.863528 3.275752 5.713480 9.734320 16.850694
2025-05-25 0.495134 0.933276 1.697253 3.113851 5.661543 10.031751 18.071052
2025-06-01 0.437519 0.860665 1.628504 3.108383 5.872771 10.789293 20.161136
2025-06-08 0.381270 0.781350 1.535563 3.043872 5.965113 11.342462 21.945149
2025-06-15 0.362862 0.772107 1.571058 3.223794 6.532294 12.816649 25.595205
2025-06-22 0.336034 0.743275 1.567469 3.332745 6.988424 14.159083 29.206540
2025-06-29 0.302373 0.694924 1.518111 3.342667 7.249207 15.157548 32.273508
2025-07-06 0.257440 0.614819 1.391394 3.172618 7.115458 15.352224 33.735440
2025-07-13 0.240497 0.595043 1.391099 3.275400 7.575716 16.821668 38.045607
2025-07-20 0.229767 0.588045 1.418005 3.442389 8.198575 18.708212 43.485146
2025-07-27 0.213833 0.565863 1.406883 3.519816 8.628024 20.222998 48.283980
2025-08-03 0.196990 0.538653 1.379917 3.555484 8.964002 21.566564 52.853857
2025-08-10 0.174647 0.493535 1.302859 3.457367 8.965214 22.139574 55.689500
2025-08-17 0.151467 0.442244 1.202719 3.286126 8.761332 22.200476 57.294719
2025-08-24 0.138768 0.417761 1.168202 3.280015 8.974748 23.293460 61.568725
2025-08-31 0.124769 0.387256 1.113332 3.211828 9.017371 23.967623 64.867467